There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.
The arithmetic here is brutal and worth understanding clearly. A buyer who financed a $400,000 home at three percent in 2021 pays roughly $1,686 per month on principal and interest. That same loan at a seven percent rate costs $2,661. Those numbers explain why the market froze rather than crashed when rates moved higher. Volume collapsed. Prices mostly did not.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. That measure being at a historical extreme does not automatically produce a correction. What it means, practically, is that the pool of qualified buyers is smaller than it was three years ago.
Before you look at a single listing, get your mortgage pre-approval completed and in hand. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. Any agent worth working with will tell you the same thing: no pre-approval, no offer.
The inspection is where the marketing copy meets reality. Show up for it even if it costs you half a day of work. A good home inspector will walk you through what they are finding as they go, and the conversation is often more valuable than the written report that follows.
Budget enough to cover origination fees, title, escrow, prepaid taxes, and insurance without being caught short at the table. First-time buyers often do not see the full closing cost picture until the Closing Disclosure arrives three days before settlement. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate before you make any offers, so you can plan your cash position accurately.
The timing question, whether to buy now or wait for rates to come down, is the one that trips up more buyers than any other single factor. The record on market timing for owner-occupied housing is not encouraging. The more useful question is not whether now is the right time in the abstract; it is whether you can carry the payment without strain.
Buyers who take the time to prepare before they start looking tend to find that there are still good properties available at realistic prices. Current property listings and market tools at real estate listings and data are worth bookmarking before you make any major moves.
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